Consensus of 4 strategies (Trend · Bollinger · RSI · ATR) → direction, entry / TP / SL, live P&L, and 3D–3Y price projections
🕛 All times in UTC · strategy resets at 00:00 UTC
How the 3D–3Y forecast is built
Each 3D–3Y cell is the typical peak — the price the coin touches at some point within that window in half of all simulated paths. It is not where the price ends; the median endpoint barely moves at short horizons because the drift is only about 9% of the noise over three days. We show the peak because it is the number that genuinely differs between coins and is calibrated: the barrier correction was fitted so the touch probability really is 50%, and checked on BTC, SOL and DOGE with a seed different from the one used to fit it (measured 48.2–50.1%). At short horizons it also matches what a coin historically did — Bitcoin's modelled 3-day peak lands within 0.4% of its historical median 3-day peak. Scenarios shows four sampled 30-day paths from the same model — real samples, not forecasts.
A coin's trend is split into a market component (its beta to BTC) and a coin-specific alpha, each shrunk toward zero as a Bayesian posterior mean. The market trend is extrapolated assertively, which costs about 2.6% in measured one-year accuracy versus assuming no change and makes most coins point the same way as Bitcoin; coins with under two years of history fall back to a conservative prior. No technical tilt is applied — we implemented the moving-average + RSI + MACD method other prediction sites describe and measured its 5-day directional accuracy at 49.4%, a coin flip (MACD alone: 49.5%).
Over three days the drift is only about 9% of the noise, so the forecast barely moves even though the price still swings roughly one ATR — that swing lives in the range, not in the forecast. Click a coin for its typical peak (the level it touches at some point in half of all paths), the ranges, and the probability of reaching any target.
There is no reason to expect so. The signal is a summary of what four indicators currently say about past price — it has no predictive guarantee. The page itself reports that the target was hit next-day only 4.6% of the time while the stop was hit first 42.1% of the time. Read those numbers before acting on anything here.
It is the share of the four strategies (Trend, Bollinger, RSI, ATR) voting the same direction — nothing more. 100% confidence means all four agree, not that the trade is likely to win.
Disagreement is normal — each indicator looks at a different window and a different property of price. When they conflict, the honest reading is that there is no clear signal, and standing aside is a valid choice.
Spot is buy-only (long). The LONG/SHORT labels apply to futures trading only, where you can also take a short position.
⚠️ Not investment advice — reference calculations only. All trading decisions and risks are your own.
Signal = consensus of 4 strategies (Trend = SMA 20/50, Bollinger = %B, RSI = 14, ATR = SMA20 trend); confidence % is the share voting the same direction. Entry is the last closed daily candle; the trade target = entry + 1.5×ATR in the signal direction — over 8,552 historical setups it was reached the next day 4.6% of the time and within five days 23.2%, while the stop was hit first 42.1% of the time. The stop-loss (1×ATR), live P&L and target-hit history are on each coin's page. Spot is buy-only (long); LONG/SHORT applies to futures only.
Projections (3D–3Y) fit a geometric Brownian motion to 998 days of log returns. The trend is split into a market component (beta to BTC) and a coin-specific alpha, each shrunk toward zero as a Bayesian posterior mean; no technical tilt is applied. Coins with under two years of history use a conservative prior, and the drift is capped at ±0.5 in annual log terms. Ranges use a fat-tailed Student-t whose degrees of freedom rise with the horizon, and each horizon uses its own measured blend of current and long-run volatility.
🔄 Refresh to recalculate with the latest prices · Binance public market data