Dice odds·4d6 = 15

4d6 = 15

Rolling 4 dice, 140 of the 1,296 outcomes add up to 15 — a 10.8% chance.

Probability

10.8%

Ways for each sum
4914151924
Ways to roll it
140 / 1,296
Probability
10.8%
One roll in
9.26
This or higher
44.37%
This or lower
66.44%
Average sum
14

Nearby sums

Rolls with similar odds

A different number of dice can land on much the same chance.

How to read this

  • Two dice do not land evenly. There are six ways to make 7 and only one way to make 2.
  • The more dice, the tighter the middle. With six dice almost everything lands near 21, while 6 or 36 turns up about once in 47,000 rolls.
  • The average sum is 3.5 per die, because one die averages 3.5.
  • Rare is not never — but nor is it due. Roll two dice thirty-six times and there is still roughly a 36% chance you never see a 2.

Frequently asked questions

Q. What are the odds of rolling 15 on 4 dice?

10.8% — 140 of 1,296 possible rolls, or roughly one roll in 9.26.

Q. How often do I roll 15 or more?

44.37% of the time. Rolling 15 or less happens 66.44% of the time.

Q. What is the most likely sum with this many dice?

Something near the average of 14. 1 sums come up more often than 15.

Q. Will it definitely turn up if I keep rolling?

No. Each roll is independent of the last. One in 9.26 is a long-run average, not a schedule.